
So after months of tense negotiations with the Obama White House over the enactment of a settlement freeze, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu will agree to a temporary freeze, though one not subject to East Jerusalem, but only after a final, for now, building frenzy.
Of course, settlements are illegal under international law and are a great injustice to the Palestinian people. Its should not even be an issue that Israel cannot build them. Settlements are built on land which is de facto if not also de jure Palestinian land. 40% of existing land is on privately-held Palestinian land. It was simply stolen. Further, settlements make a two-state solution harder to achieve if not impossible because they further encroach on land Palestinians want for their state and slice the occupied West Bank into cantons thus making a viable Palestinian state nearly impossible. For settlers and other Israeli right-wingers that is the point. They oppose a Palestinian state and want nothing more than to render the attainment, or so they think, impossible. Without a two-state solution there are three other options: apartheid (which already exists in some form), ethnic cleansing of Palestinians or a one-state solution which given the demographics would mean a majority Arab state and the end of the Jewish state. Israel would sooner ethnically cleanse Palestinians or publicly defend an apartheid state then give the Palestinians the vote. That is why settlements need to stop now or else the two-state solution becomes a nostalgic dream. Israelis will be the biggest losers. Palestinians are the weaker power now, but have demographics, the world and history on their side. They can wait it out. Israel is becoming more and more isolated in the world, even from its staunch ally the U.S., and constant war with Palestinians and Arabs is turning Israel into a (even more) fascistic, xenophobic Jewish ghetto. Israelis are denied a normal country and in the end, one way or another, will lose the Jewish state without a two-state solution. It is hard to believe that any lover of Israel could be opposed to a two-state solution not out of concern for the well-being of Palestinians, but they should be supportive simply out of the necessity for Israel.
President Obama has declared that the United States “does not recognize the legitimacy” of the settlements in his landmark Cairo address to the Muslim world. Netanyahu could care less.
He has now begrudgingly agreed to a temporary freeze, but must balance his interests between ending the dispute with Washington and maintaining his base of support. The bloc that elected Netanyahu is to the right of him and they love nothing more than settlements (well, second to killing Arabs).
That is why he needed to give his supporters hundreds of new illegal homes, before going along with Washington’s freeze. That way he gives them something to enjoy, while he agrees to “sacrifices”. These settlements will be built for the most part in blocs which are near the 1967 border and which will be annexed by Israel in a final peace, but not all. In a sign that Israelis are still not committed to a peace deal, some of the homes will be built in a small settlement deep in the occupied West Bank in the Jordan Valley. What is the point of that? It is one thing to expand settlements on land that Israel will annex - in this regard a settlement freeze was more about confidence building than final borders - but why build more homes on land that the Palestinians will never allow Israel to annex. Israel cannot annex something deep in the West Bank, because that will divide the West Bank into non-contiguous parts or cantons. It would require an Israeli road from Israel “proper” to the Jordan Valley. This is why Arafat rejected Barak’s so-called “generous” peace offer because it meant a West Bank divided into three parts. Israel is still trying to undermine Palestinian aspirations.
Further, besides the Jordan Valley illegal settlements there is the matter of East Jerusalem. East Jerusalem is majority Arab and occupied since 1967. Israel annexed it that year but no nation has recognized it as Israeli sovereignty, not even the U.S. Palestinians aspire to have East Jerusalem as their capital and have repeatedly stated that they will not accept any peace deal whereby this is denied to them. Past Israeli governments were willing to negotiate East Jerusalem on the premise that existing Jewish settlements in the area (currently over 200,000 Israeli Jews live in East Jerusalem in Jewish-only settlements) would remain under Israeli sovereignty. Palestinian have no problem with that. But past Israeli governments have also worked to ensure that when the day comes to sign a final peace, East Jerusalem will remain in Israeli hands. Why are the Jewish settlers there in the first place? To secure Israel’s hold. Israel has been adding to the number of Jews in East Jerusalem while at the same time it has been ethnically cleansing the city of its Arab majority by demolishing homes and apartments complexes. Israel claims that these homes are illegally built by lacking the proper permits, but the same Israeli authorities refuse to give Arabs permits for the purpose of forcing them to move elsewhere. Arabs, indigenous to the city and land, are not going to be dictated to by an occupying authority. This is another form of Palestinian resistance. Palestinians build homes even when they know they will be demolished to send the message to Israel that they will continue to resist in the face of such cruel injustice no matter Israel’s military superiority. The Palestinians build anyway, and Israeli authorities do not stop them. And for years never said a thing. But now, fearing that a final peace deal is near, Israel is engaging in a stepped-up effort to “Judaize” East Jerusalem. Jewish settlements are going up, Arab neighborhoods demolished, and Israel is building (or expanding) a string of illegal settlements that disconnect the city from the West Bank, the Wall has this effect too; thus East Jerusalem is becoming an isolated majority-Arab city though with a growing Jewish minority in the middle of land controlled or to be annexed by Israel. Shrewd. This is Israel’s blatant strategy: to deny the Palestinians their rightful capital. And now, even with a pointless temporary freeze (more on that below), Netanyahu still says that East Jerusalem will not be part of the deal and Israel will continue to demolish Arab homes, steal Arab land and place inter-lopper Jews on the land. East Jerusalem is at the heart of a wished-for Palestinian state. With refusing to a freeze there and entering negotiations by claiming East Jerusalem is all for Israel and this is non-negotiable the whole peace process becomes futile from the beginning.
And what about the temporary freeze? Obama and the Palestinians said that negotiations cannot start until an Israeli freeze to settlements. Netanyahu refuses to agree to a permanent freeze. What he is offering is a building frenzy first and then suspension for a few months in order to restart peace negotiations and as peace negotiations resume, Israel will once again start building settlements to take more and more land. This is a pointless sandwich freeze between two slices of illegal usurpation of Palestinian land (sorry for the bad metaphor). We have seen this story before. The Oslo peace process explicitly stated that neither side can take unilateral action to prejudice the final outcome of negotiations. Primarily, neither side can determine final borders without a universal agreement. Israel ignored this provision and the United States turned a blind eye. Of course, this was a huge part of Oslo but when the Palestinian do not comply with Section 17 of Part 11, the United States Congress convenes to attack them along with the media as not being committed to peace. But Israel can get away with a lot more. During Oslo, when Israel was not supposed to be building settlements, it doubled its settlement population to over 400,000. Israel grabs what it can during negotiations because if they are successful and a final peace is made, then Israel will no longer be able to expand its border. So the peace process is a final theft effort. Arial Sharon told Israelis exactly that during the 1990s: to run to the hills and capture what they can because what they don’t get now will then come under Palestinian sovereignty. While negotiations are ongoing and Israel pretends to care, Israel builds more and more. It uses the cloth of a peace process to ex-appropriate Palestinian land. It then claims these are “facts-on-the-ground” and regardless of the merit of building them in the first place, these “facts” simply cannot change and the international community can’t possibly expect Israel to give them up. It would be too costly and too much of a burden on the Israeli occupation army. Thus Israel achieves de facto rights to Palestinian land. Clever, no? Evil? Certainly. The parties are left in a worse position of negotiation before the beginning.
That is what will most likely happen now. Netanyahu will claim to be a champion of peace, because, after all, he has stood up to his own party to achieve a settlement freeze. But he admits it is temporary. He is using the freeze to get negotiations going again so Israel can then lie about supporting peace. But as with Oslo while negotiations are ongoing, Israel will restart settlement construction and then, like before, will claim “well, it may have been wrong to start them but now these are ‘facts-on-the-ground’” and Israel will take more and more Palestinian land until there is nothing meaningful for a Palestinian state. It is sadly predictable. The settlements will start in no time when the parties sit down and if the Palestinians complain the Israelis will then attack Palestinians for being the obstacle to peace for letting settlements be a distraction. The Israeli will try to change the subject.
I say: Let Bibi have his settlements. The world will see that no matter the Israeli propaganda, Israel is and has always been the obstacle toward peace. The world will see Israel’s lying nature and its unceasing appetite for Palestinian land. Norway’s government just divested from an Israeli company. The European Union is labeling all Israeli goods produced in the West Bank - including AHAVA theft cream - as a product of occupation. If Israel fails to make peace, the BDS (Boycott, Divest and Sanctions) movement will only strength. And pariah states don’t last very long. Not even a superpower will be able to come to the rescue.
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The U.S. wants to use its allies. Not actually BE allies. The U.S. is a commercial enterprise, a for profit business that isn't above a little extortion here and there when it meets its own needs. The only difference between our government and the drug cartels is our guys were elected to office. They use the same tactics and the same philosophy, only with a smile.